{"id":559,"date":"2026-10-01T15:46:33","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T18:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/portalzonasulcampina.com.br\/?p=559"},"modified":"2026-10-01T15:46:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T18:46:34","slug":"pesquisa-real-time-big-data-para-presidente-lula-tem-43-e-flavio-39","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/portalzonasulcampina.com.br\/?p=559","title":{"rendered":"Pesquisa Real Time Big Data para presidente: Lula tem 43% e Fl\u00e1vio 39%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) tem 43% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para a Presid\u00eancia, no <strong>primeiro turno<\/strong>, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (PL) registra 39%, segundo <strong>pesquisa Real Time Big Data<\/strong> divulgada nesta quinta-feira, 1\u00ba.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os dois est\u00e3o tecnicamente empatados, considerando a margem de erro de dois pontos porcentuais para mais ou para menos. O equil\u00edbrio se repete em uma eventual disputa de segundo turno, na qual Fl\u00e1vio tem 46% e Lula, 45%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Renan Santos (Miss\u00e3o) aparece com 4%. Augusto Cury (Avante) e Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) t\u00eam 3% cada, enquanto Romeu Zema (Novo) registra 1%. Clariana Bar\u00e3o (DC), Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO), Samara (UP), Edmilson Costa (PCB), Hertz Dias (PSTU), Veterin\u00e1rio Wilson Grassi (Democrata) e Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB), somados, atingem 1%. Brancos e nulos s\u00e3o 3%, e outros 3% n\u00e3o sabem ou n\u00e3o responderam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Considerando apenas os <strong>votos v\u00e1lidos<\/strong>, Lula tem 46%, contra 41% de Fl\u00e1vio. Renan aparece com 5%, Cury e Caiado t\u00eam 3% cada, enquanto Zema e os demais candidatos registram 1% cada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Esta \u00e9 a \u00faltima pesquisa presidencial da Real Time Big Data divulgada antes do primeiro turno. No cen\u00e1rio de segundo turno entre Lula e Fl\u00e1vio, o instituto vem registrando equil\u00edbrio desde o in\u00edcio de setembro. Na rodada de 1\u00ba de setembro, os dois tinham 44%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em 24 de setembro, Fl\u00e1vio marcou 45% e Lula, 44%. Agora, aparecem com 46% e 45%, respectivamente. A \u00fanica exce\u00e7\u00e3o na s\u00e9rie foi junho, quando Lula tinha 45% e Fl\u00e1vio, 40%; nas demais rodadas, a diferen\u00e7a ficou dentro da margem de erro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Na pesquisa espont\u00e2nea, quando os nomes dos candidatos n\u00e3o s\u00e3o apresentados aos entrevistados, Lula tem 38% e Fl\u00e1vio, 34%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Renan e Cury aparecem com 3% cada, Caiado tem 2% e outros nomes somam 1%. Brancos e nulos s\u00e3o 8%, enquanto 11% n\u00e3o sabem ou n\u00e3o responderam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Segundo turno<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Em eventual confronto direto, Fl\u00e1vio tem 46% e Lula, 45%. Brancos e nulos somam 5%, e 4% n\u00e3o sabem ou n\u00e3o responderam. Considerando apenas os votos v\u00e1lidos, o placar \u00e9 de 51% para Fl\u00e1vio e 49% para Lula.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lula tamb\u00e9m aparece tecnicamente empatado com Cury, por 45% a 44%, e com Caiado, por 45% a 43%. Contra Zema, o petista registra 45%, ante 40%, e, diante de Renan, tem 45% contra 38%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lula e Fl\u00e1vio tamb\u00e9m est\u00e3o empatados na rejei\u00e7\u00e3o: 49% dos entrevistados afirmam que n\u00e3o votariam em cada um deles. Renan tem 43%, Caiado, 39%, Zema, 34%, e Cury, 33%. A pergunta permitia mais de uma resposta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A gest\u00e3o Lula \u00e9 desaprovada por 52% dos entrevistados e aprovada por 46%. Na avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do governo, 45% consideram a administra\u00e7\u00e3o ruim ou p\u00e9ssima, 33% a classificam como \u00f3tima ou boa e 21%, como regular.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Real Time Big Data ouviu 2.000 eleitores, por telefone, em todo o Pa\u00eds entre 26 e 30 de setembro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos porcentuais, para mais ou para menos, com n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O levantamento foi registrado no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) sob o protocolo BR-09503\/2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>*Com informa\u00e7\u00f5es de Gabriel Gon\u00e7alves\/Conte\u00fado Estado<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>O presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (PT) tem 43% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":560,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-brasil"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - 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